Watch it work.

This is The Wind Agent. Here is how I use it, start to finish, in about a minute and a half. First, search for your site. I type Dublin, and pick it from the list. Then say what you work with. I choose Crane. My hook sits at eighty-five metres, so that is the height. My limit is twelve metres per second. It is your number, not ours. Now read the big figure. That is the primary forecast, worked out at eighty-five metres, not the ten metres a weather page gives you. Beside it, P over limit: the share of ensemble members that go above your number. Now scrub the time strip to tomorrow, seven in the morning. The fan shows the spread of forty members around that hour. A wide fan means low confidence. The Agreement Spine shows whether the models agree. A warning tick means one of them has parted company with the rest. Finally, open the agent and ask the question I actually have. It answers from the numbers on screen, against your limit, and the decision stays with you. Odds, not vibes.

This is The Wind Agent. Here is how I use it, start to finish, in about a minute and a half. First, search for your site. I type Dublin, and pick it from the list. Then say what you work with. I choose Crane. My hook sits at eighty-five metres, so that is the height. My limit is twelve metres per second. It is your number, not ours. Now read the big figure. That is the primary forecast, worked out at eighty-five metres, not the ten metres a weather page gives you. Beside it, P over limit: the share of ensemble members that go above your number. Now scrub the time strip to tomorrow, seven in the morning. The fan shows the spread of forty members around that hour. A wide fan means low confidence. The Agreement Spine shows whether the models agree. A warning tick means one of them has parted company with the rest. Finally, open the agent and ask the question I actually have. It answers from the numbers on screen, against your limit, and the decision stays with you. Odds, not vibes.

This is Brandon Bay, on the Dingle Peninsula. A kitesurfer asks one question: will it blow over my number? The big figure is the primary forecast. One model, one line. It looks certain. It is not. Behind it are forty ensemble members, forty slightly different versions of the next few days. Count how many go above your limit. That share is P over limit. It is odds, not a promise. Now the Agreement Spine. Each tick is a model. When they agree, the odds mean more. When they split, be careful. When it matters, freeze a record. It keeps the numbers, the models and your limit, so you can show what you knew, and when.

The wind across Ireland, right now. This map is live. Met Éireann stations, airports and buoys, so you see what the wind is doing, not only what was forecast. The charts page gives you a meteogram for any place: speed, gust and direction, sixteen days wide. And every week the blog publishes an Ireland outlook, in plain words, with the numbers behind it. Open the instrument, set your height and your limit, and see the odds for yourself.