Energy and utilities
Solar farm O&M and asset operators: the wind call, at your height
Warn me before a gust passes the stow limit.
- Pick the calm days for cleaning and drone surveys.
- A dated record of each stow decision.
O&M manager / asset manager
The decision
Decide tracker stow, and schedule crane, cleaning and drone work at array height.
- How often
- Daily
- Your limit, for example
- 14 m/s (tracker stow thresholds 14–18 m/s)Source: pv-magazine-usa.com
- Height that matters
- 10 m
- The number to watch
- gust and mean at array height
Live, right now, at 10 m
These are the real charts, running for Dublin Port. Search for your own place to re-point them.
The wind column with your height (10 m) picked out.
Odds at 10 m.
Where the weather models agree, and where they do not.
The call you make
As an O&M manager or asset manager for a solar farm, you make daily decisions about tracker stow positions, and schedule crane, cleaning, and drone work. These decisions are critical to protect your assets and ensure operational efficiency. A wrong call can lead to wind damage to trackers, impacting your farm's performance and increasing maintenance costs.
Your decisions are driven by wind conditions at array height. For example, if a gust exceeds the stow limit, trackers must be moved to a position to prevent damage. Similarly, cleaning operations and drone surveys require calm conditions to be carried out effectively and without incident. Each call you make has direct financial and operational consequences.
These decisions are not just about immediate protection; they also affect your long-term operational costs and the lifespan of your equipment. Being able to anticipate wind conditions accurately allows you to plan proactively, avoiding costly reactive measures and ensuring the continuous, efficient operation of your solar farm. The better your information, the better your decisions.
Where the wind actually is for you
Your work requires precise wind information at array height, which is typically around 10 metres. The Wind Agent provides wind forecasts at this height, interpolated from standard model levels of 10, 80, 120, and 180 metres. This ensures the data you see is relevant to your specific operational environment.
For solar farm operations, both mean wind speed and gust speeds are critical. Gusts, in particular, can rapidly exceed tracker stow limits, which are commonly set by the tracker manufacturer. The instrument displays gusts alongside mean wind speeds, giving you a complete picture of the wind conditions you need to manage.
Your operational limits, such as a 14 m/s threshold for tracker stow, are set by your equipment manufacturer or your site rules. The instrument allows you to input this specific limit, so you can see how forecast wind conditions compare directly to your operational thresholds. This tailored view helps you make informed decisions about when to stow trackers or schedule sensitive work.
Reading the odds for this work
The instrument shows the P(above your limit) by the hour, which is the fraction of ensemble members predicting wind speeds above your set limit. This percentage helps you assess the likelihood of exceeding your operational thresholds, such as a 14 m/s stow limit for trackers.
When you see a P(above your limit) of 20 per cent, it suggests a low but present risk. For critical operations like tracker stow, you might proceed with caution, monitoring conditions closely. At 50 per cent, the risk is significant, prompting you to prepare for a potential stow or reschedule non-essential work. An 80 per cent P(above your limit) indicates a high probability of exceeding your limit, meaning you should plan to stow trackers or halt sensitive operations.
Separately, the Agreement Spine shows where weather models agree and disagree. High agreement across models gives you more confidence in the forecast. If models disagree, even with a low P(above your limit), it might warrant closer attention or a more conservative approach to your daily planning, especially for tasks like crane lifts or drone surveys that are highly sensitive to unexpected wind shifts.
A day with it
This is an example of a day managing a solar farm with The Wind Agent:
- 06:00: You check the forecast for the day. Your stow limit is 14 m/s. The P(above your limit) for 10:00 is 10 per cent, rising to 30 per cent by 14:00, and 60 per cent by 16:00. The Agreement Spine shows good model agreement for the morning, but some divergence in the afternoon.
- 07:00: You decide to proceed with cleaning operations scheduled for the morning, as the wind is forecast to be well below your limit. You also schedule a drone survey for 10:00, anticipating calm conditions.
- 12:00: You receive an alert that the P(above your limit) for 16:00 has increased to 75 per cent, with gusts potentially reaching 16 m/s. You instruct your team to prepare for tracker stow by 15:30.
- 15:00: The wind begins to pick up. You monitor the live wind data, confirming the increasing gust speeds.
- 15:30: You initiate the tracker stow procedure across the farm, well in advance of the forecast peak wind, protecting your assets from potential damage.
Example: A day managing a solar farm with The Wind Agent
- 06:00: Check the forecast for the day. Your stow limit is 14 m/s. P(above your limit) for 10:00 is 10%, rising to 30% by 14:00, and 60% by 16:00. Agreement Spine shows good model agreement for the morning, but some divergence in the afternoon.
- 07:00: Decide to proceed with cleaning operations scheduled for the morning, as the wind is forecast to be well below your limit. Schedule a drone survey for 10:00, anticipating calm conditions.
- 12:00: Receive an alert that the P(above your limit) for 16:00 has increased to 75%, with gusts potentially reaching 16 m/s. Instruct your team to prepare for tracker stow by 15:30.
- 15:00: The wind begins to pick up. Monitor the live wind data, confirming the increasing gust speeds.
- 15:30: Initiate the tracker stow procedure across the farm, well in advance of the forecast peak wind, protecting your assets from potential damage.
Setting your limit from your own document
Your operational limits for wind speed are not arbitrary; they are typically set by the manufacturer of your solar trackers or dictated by your site's operational rules. For example, tracker stow thresholds commonly range from 14 to 18 m/s, as stated in your equipment documentation. These limits are crucial for preventing wind damage and ensuring the longevity of your assets.
The instrument allows you to input your specific wind speed limit, which is set at 10 m/s for array height by default. This customisation ensures that the forecasts and alerts you receive are directly relevant to your operational parameters. By entering your exact limit, such as 14 m/s, you can immediately see when wind conditions are projected to approach or exceed this threshold.
This direct comparison helps you make informed decisions about when to initiate tracker stow procedures, schedule crane operations, or carry out sensitive tasks like cleaning and drone surveys. Relying on your own documented limits, rather than generic thresholds, provides a robust basis for your daily operational calls, protecting your investment and ensuring continuous operation.
The record, and why it matters here
Maintaining a dated record of wind forecasts and your operational decisions is essential for solar farm management. The instrument provides a record page that logs what was forecast, what was observed, the limit you used, and the call you made. This record serves multiple purposes for an O&M manager or asset manager.
Firstly, it provides accountability. If there's an incident of wind damage, you have a clear record of the forecast conditions and the actions taken based on that information. This can be vital for insurance claims or internal reviews. Secondly, it aids in performance analysis. By reviewing past forecasts against actual observations and your decisions, you can refine your operational protocols and improve your decision-making process over time.
Finally, this record helps in demonstrating due diligence. For example, if questions arise about why trackers were stowed or why certain work was postponed, you have objective data to support your choices. This historical data is a valuable asset for continuous improvement and risk management in your solar farm operations.
Ireland
Ireland's solar farms, while a rapidly expanding sector, face specific wind challenges due to the country's exposure to Atlantic weather systems. The storm season, typically running from October to March, brings higher wind speeds and a greater frequency of strong gusts. This seasonality means that careful wind management is particularly critical during these months to protect assets.
For solar farm O&M, understanding these seasonal patterns is key. During the storm season, the likelihood of exceeding tracker stow limits increases significantly, requiring more frequent monitoring and proactive decision-making. Outside of this period, calmer conditions are more prevalent, offering better windows for scheduled maintenance like cleaning and drone surveys.
While specific regulations for solar farm wind management are still evolving in Ireland, the general principles of protecting assets from wind damage remain paramount. Utilising accurate wind forecasts tailored to your array height helps you navigate these conditions, ensuring your solar farm operates efficiently and securely year-round, regardless of the prevailing weather patterns.
Questions people ask
How does The Wind Agent help me with tracker stow decisions?
It provides hourly P(above your limit) forecasts at your array height, typically 10 metres. You input your specific tracker stow limit, for example, 14 m/s. This allows you to see the probability of exceeding this limit, helping you decide when to initiate stow procedures to protect your trackers from wind damage. Gust speeds are also shown alongside mean wind speeds for comprehensive insight into potential wind impacts.
Can I use this for scheduling cleaning or drone surveys?
Yes, you can. By setting a lower wind speed limit for sensitive operations like cleaning or drone surveys, you can identify calm periods. The instrument shows you the P(above your limit) for these specific thresholds. This helps you select the optimal times for these tasks, reducing the risk of wind interference and ensuring efficient completion. You can plan ahead by checking the forecast for several days.
What if my array height is not exactly 10 metres?
The instrument interpolates wind data to your specific working height, even if it is not exactly 10 metres. You simply input your array height in metres, and the system adjusts the forecast accordingly. This ensures the wind information you receive is precise and relevant to your operational environment, whether your array is slightly higher or lower than the typical 10 metres. Heights below 10 metres are extrapolated and badged as such.
How does the Agreement Spine benefit my operational planning?
The Agreement Spine shows how much different weather models agree or disagree on the forecast. When models largely agree, you can have higher confidence in the forecast, which is useful for planning critical operations like crane lifts or tracker stow. If models show significant disagreement, it suggests more uncertainty, prompting a more cautious approach to your planning. This insight helps you assess the reliability of the forecast.
What kind of record is kept, and why is it important?
The instrument keeps a dated record of the wind forecast, the observed wind conditions, the limit you set, and the operational call you made. This record is important for several reasons: it provides accountability for your decisions, aids in post-incident analysis, and helps you refine future operational strategies. It serves as documentation for internal reviews or external inquiries, demonstrating due diligence in managing wind-sensitive operations.
What it costs to get this wrong
Stowing at 12 m/s can cost over 4% of annual production versus under 0.1% at 22 m/s.
Source: pv-magazine-usa.comWhat you use today, and what this adds
| What you use today | Cost |
|---|---|
| The turbine's or tracker's own anemometer | Comes with the machine |
| A commercial weather service on contract | On contract |
What this adds
- Alerts at your own limit
- P(>14 m/s) per hour
Set it up in a minute
- Preset
- Wind ops
- Height
- 10 m
- Limit
- 14 m/s
- Place
- Dublin Port
ProPro adds alerts before your limit breaks and the 06:00 brief for every site.
Try it first, no account.
In Ireland
Irish solar is being built out quickly.
Where people in this work talk
- Solar Energy Ireland
Read next
Industry guides
Others in energy and utilities
- Onshore wind farm O&M managers and technicians
- Wind turbine installers and crane-lift planners
- Utility-scale wind farm owners and asset managers
- Offshore wind construction and O&M (Arklow, Codling, Dublin Array)
- Small independent and farm-scale wind turbine owners
- Power traders and energy forecasting desks
Sources
The Wind Agent shows the wind and the odds. Your limit and the competent person on site make the call.
Figures on this page are desk research; we are verifying them with operators.